From: William.Bunting@noaa.gov
Sent: 3/5/2010 4:31:03 P.M. Central Standard Time
Subj: NWS Update: Heavy Rain Potential Sunday Night/Monday

 

With the weekend approaching, we thought we should let you know about
the potential for some locally heavy rain Sunday Night and Monday
associated with a strong upper level disturbance.  Rain and thunderstorm
chances will increase during the day Sunday, with the best chances
Sunday night into Monday morning.  Rainfall amounts will average an inch
or so with isolated higher amounts.  Even though forecast rainfall
amounts are not overly impressive, some rivers across central and
eastern North Texas are at fairly high levels already and soil moisture
is rather high.  Thus, any additional precipitation over the weekend may
lead to river rises sufficient to reach flood stage.  Confidence in at
least isolated river flooding at this point is moderate.

There may also be an isolated strong or marginally severe storm Sunday
night and early Monday, and we will refine the severe weather potential
forecast throughout the weekend.  At the moment, the severe storm
potential is marginal at best.

Another storm system will affect our area towards the middle of next
week, and we currently think the system will move fast enough to
minimize the heavy rainfall threat.  Once again, we'll keep everyone posted.

Finally, I wanted to let you know about a symposium we are co-sponsoring
with the Fort Worth Emergency Management Office commemorating the 10th
anniversary of the Fort Worth-Arlington area tornadoes.  The symposium
is free, open to the public, and will contain many interesting speakers
and presentations.  The link to more information and to register to
attend is:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/?n=tornadosymp

Here are some important links to current and forecast weather
information from our website:

National Weather Service Fort Worth

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/

National Weather Service Fort Worth Hazard Pages

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/hazard/haz.php?loc=nort&dow=TODAY  
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/hazard/haz.php?loc=nort&dow=TODAY

Emergency Management Weather Briefing Page

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/?n=embriefing  

National Weather Service Fort Worth Severe Weather Preparedness Page

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/?n=emsevere  

As always, give us a call if we can provide additional information or
support.

Regards,
Bill